Wyndham Championship 2023
Midjourney's take on a gentleman working at Wyndham and playing golf.

Wyndham Championship 2023

Wyndham Championship 2023. Here's our preview, stats analysis and betting picks.
Chairman's note:
We are taking a break from sharing larger betting cards for now. Development of models is taking too much time and we'll focus on model and macro trends based betting for now.

Now onto the preview made with assistance of an American journalist who loves to write in a dramatical way.

The Wyndham Championship 2023 arrives as a symbol of finesse, precision, and absolute mastery over the golfing art. The Sedgefield Country Club, a playground for the accurate drivers and wedge wizards, hosts the event. A preview of this grand competition reveals a dance with angles, the harmony of woods, and the fickle temperament of Bermuda greens.

Introduction

The Wyndham Championship is not just about a game of golf; it's a poetic journey through the Carolina woods. The very essence of the game is manifested here in its challenging landscape and profound contrasts:

  • Location: Par 70, 7,131 yards, Sedgefield Country Club
  • Design: Donald Ross masterpiece
  • Nature: Tree-lined parkland, heavily wooded, rolling fairways; feel the Carolina humidity on your skin
  • Difficulty: Averaged-1.24 under par (2018-2022), 13th easiest, yet deceptive in its simplicity

The Wyndham Championship 2023 prepares a stage where the keenest minds will prevail, crafting tales of triumph, and memories of narrow misses.

The Course: A Portrait

A meticulous analysis of Sedgefield reveals secrets hidden within its embrace:

  • Narrow Fairways: 9th narrowest at 29 yards, beckoning precision OTT
  • Greens and Rough: Bermuda greens, 6,000 sq. feet, fast 12.5+ stimp, with the rough at 2.5" Bermuda
  • Hole Distribution: 12 par-4s (9 under 440), 4 par-3s (2 at 200+), 3 par-5s (easiest on Tour)
  • Challenges: Four toughest holes include two 500+ par 4s, two 225+ par 3s

Sedgefield's contrasts, the narrow "Less Than Driver" tracks, and one of the toughest "Scrambling From the Rough" courses on Tour with only a 42.7% success rate all add up to a compelling narrative.

Key Stats for Sedgefield

These are the virtues that would lead to success:

  • Accurate Drivers: Emphasis on precision
  • Wedge/Short Iron Wizards: Creative approaches
  • Consistent Bermuda Putters: Mastery over the unpredictable
  • 3-Putt Avoiders: Essential for success

Birdies on both Par 5s will be the norm, and playing from the fairways is an absolute must. The course ranks in the top 10 narrowest fairways on the PGA TOUR since 2015 at 29 yards.

FAQs

  • What makes the Wyndham Championship 2023 so unique? Last competition of the PGA Tour's regular schedule before playoffs of top 70 will start. Many prevalent major winners are still looking for a spot in the playoffs.
  • Who are likely to succeed at this Championship? Accurate drivers, wedge experts, and those adept in handling Bermuda putting surfaces.
  • What are the specific challenges of this course? Narrow fairways, unpredictable Bermuda rough, four extremely challenging holes, and the requirement for precision in every shot.

Betting card and thoughts

Back to basics this week. Betting winner market based on macro trends from this competition which means we are betting all under 50/1 players and cashing out before the finish. Then we might place new bets for the weekend depending on situation. This strategy has yielded steady profits in the past.

Here is the card and preview of data for the week is in the Tools section. Betting only 5 top10s and 10 top20s going forward. These players will be qualified for bets based on their model rank, positive other ranks and under 2 missed cuts on their last 5 starts. The odds mentioned are the ones that market gave about 15 hours before the start (no time to hunt this time).

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Winners:
2%+ players (about 15 hours before the start):
Russell Henley, 23
Hideki Matsuyama, 24
Si Woo Kim, 25
Sungjae Im, 25
Denny Mccarthy, 30
Sam Burns, 36
Shane Lowry, 36
J.T. Poston, 40
Aaron Rai, 42


See the strategic aspect of these selections above. The selected strategy is based on history and trends and our research. All bets placed on 100 unit payout structure, but the main idea is to cashout in profit before weekend.
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Top 10s:
Russell Henley, 3.85
Denny Mccarthy, 4.7
J.T. Poston, 5.5
Aaron Rai, 6.4
Nicholas Lindheim, 9

Aiming for 5 unit payout.
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Top 20s:
Hideki Matsuyama, 2.4
Si Woo Kim, 2.5
Sungjae Im, 2.48
Sam Burns, 2.82
Shane Lowry, 3.05
Adam Scott, 3.65
Byeong Hun An, 3.95
Beau Hossler, 4.6
Lucas Glover, 5.00
Andrew Putnam, 4.3

Aiming for 5 unit payout.

Winner and top bets are placed in Betfair Exchange. Sign up here.

This week will be the start of the era of simplicity - sometimes analysing less is better and this worked really well in the Q4 of 2022.

Good luck for the week!