Mexico Open 2023
Some Wes Anderson vibes from Midjourney this week. Prompt: 1930s, Wes Anderson scene, spaniard golfer from white lotus, on a golf course, symmetrical, 35 mm cinematic shot, pastel color correction, --ar 3:2 --v 5

Mexico Open 2023

Preview ofMexico Open 2023. Our AI accelerated preview, thoughts on the market, betting picks and model and updates on AI Challenge.

Our Scottish member promised to write a short preview for this competition. Writeup will also include the AI Challenge and as usual our betting card & thoughts for the week.

Our Scottish member is happy.

Attention golf enthusiasts and betting addicts, prepare yourselves for the upcoming Mexico Open tournament, where the greens will be just as verdant as the rolling hills of the Scottish countryside.

This year's event features a field that may be considered the weakest of the year, with only three players in the top 50. As you take your place on the sidelines, prepare to witness a true test of the ball striking, with the longest par 4s and 5s on tour, requiring remarkable length and game from 200+ yards from the players. Based on previous visits, the majority of approaches come from 200+ yards, with only a small 20% coming from inside 150 yards.

But let us not forget the greens, which are slower than usual, neutralizing both good and bad putters. This provides an added layer of suspense, as the competition becomes even more open.

The afternoon crosswinds that sweep across the course with predictable regularity will provide an added challenge, demanding precision and control in every swing. This week's forecast seems mild in winds, but the heat will take it's toll on the afternoon wave.

And what of the course itself? Well, let me tell you, it is no simple resort course - this one has teeth, and is not a course that is easily tamed. The wall-to-wall "sticky" Paspalum grass presents an added level of difficulty, with balls not rolling as smoothly as one might expect. On to the AI Challenge then.

Chairman vs. AI's (section started 13.4.2023)

So starting few weeks ago, we thought it would be a fun way to track the advancements in AI (more specifically Bing, powered by GPT 4 and ChatGPT, powered by GPT 3.5).

It's a simple exercise of predicting top5 for every tournament and you get 1 point for correct players and 2 points for a winner.

Points after second week:

Chairman: 4 points (Smith & Reed from LIV Adelaide)
Bing AI: 3 points
ChatGPT / Personal AI: 1 point

Chairman's picks:
1. Jon Rahm 2. Tony Finau 3. Wyndham Clark 4. Gary Woodland 5. Byeong Hun An

Bing's picks:
1. Wyndham Clark 2. Jon Rahm 3. Jhonattan Vegas 4. Scott Piercy 5. Cameron Champ

Personal AI - taught with golf related material (ChatGPT flagged itself out):
1. Jon Rahm 2. Tony Finau 3. Charley Hoffman 4. David Lipsky 5. Cameron Champ

Betting card and thoughts about the market

Such an interesting week. Rahm taking over 1/4 of the winner market and with Finau they total almost 40% of the market.

This week's strategy will be picking +EV players mainly from top10 and top20 market and choosing some "underdogs" for the winner market. Still pondering on shorting the top2, but with the morning tee time for Thursday it might be better to do this on Friday.

Here is the card and preview of data for the week is here.

All bets in Betfair Exchange. Sign up here.

Good luck for the week!