RBC Heritage 2023
From slow play towards the harbour city
As expected, the Masters was a magnificent showcase of the world's best players battling against the conditions and some of the most challenging greens in the world. Patrick Cantlay, who drew special attention during the final round, is among the elite 44 players who have played at the Masters and are now competing in this week's elevated $20 million tournament.
Harbour Town Golf Links is known for its small greens and stunning final holes by the sea. In addition to a good game strategy, the course requires a lot of precision from the tee. It's easy to get stuck in the "rough" on this course, and experience is an advantage.
Wind has played a big role in previous years, but this week's forecast is quite moderate in that respect. Those playing on Thursday morning may have a slight advantage, but that's not unusual. The conditions are further challenged by the 2.5-inch rough, which emphasizes the importance of the opening game.
Some brilliant previews that I suggest to read if that's your thing: Vincerix, Betfair Golf, Sporting Life and Betsperts Golf.
Chairman vs. AI's (new section)
So starting this week, we thought it would be a fun way to track the advancements in AI (more specifically Bing, powered by GPT 4 and ChatGPT, powered by GPT 3.5).
It's a simple exercise of predicting top5 for every tournament and you get 1 point for correct players and 2 points for a winner.
Chairman's picks:
1. Scottie Scheffler 2. Patrick Cantlay 3. Cameron Young 4. Jordan Spieth 5. Matt Kuchar
Bing's picks:
1. Scottie Scheffler 2. Jon Rahm 3. Patrick Cantlay 4. Collin Morikawa 5. Sungjae Im
ChatGPT's picks (excluding players playing in LIV or injured):
1. Webb Simpson 2. Matt Kuchar 3. Collin Morikawa 4. Corey Conners 5. Brian Harman
Betting card and thoughts about the market
After such a intense week last week time to go easier this week. Some good lines from pre-event h2h, cuts, FRL and winner market. Since winner market has been quite rough last few weeks (with selling Burns and missing Rahm last week due to weather adjustments - never again), scaling it down a bit and putting more emphasis on round H2H market which starts from round 2. Trying to share these this week on a Twitter and Shorts since last week did not have time to do this because of Easter holiday.
Links to base model and rankings can be found here. And bets for this week are below. Some notes on the biggest movers on the Betfair Exchange. Thinking to start tracking these more closely since I believe such a big moves are based on on premise insights. So biggest movers are below:
Betting card for this week:
Good luck for the week!
